GGOALVIO

Spain · La Liga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Santander · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Racing Santander are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Villarreal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the La Liga, while Racing Santander holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Santander

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

11.5%

Racing Santander has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing SantanderDWWDW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
VillarrealWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing SantanderVillarreal
50.0Attack57.0
50.0Defence43.0
50.0Form46.5
50.0Power50.5
1.73xG1.47
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