GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Racing Santander are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing SantanderLDWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubDWWWL

GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
33.3Attack100.0
76.2Defence75.0
42.9Form66.7
52.2Power72.9
0.83xG1.76
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