GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/7/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Santander are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alaves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alaves hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing SantanderWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AlavesWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing SantanderAlaves
33.3Attack33.3
76.2Defence75.0
42.9Form54.2
52.2Power57.4
0.87xG0.78
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