Racing MontevideovsProgreso

Racing Montevideo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Progreso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.7% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.