Racing MontevideovsPenarol

Racing Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Penarol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.