GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool MontevideoDWWDD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Racing MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
42.0Attack37.7
72.5Defence66.7
60.9Form46.4
60.6Power52.2
0.92xG0.55
View match centre →