GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.6 against 61.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo MaldonadoWDWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Racing MontevideoDeportivo Maldonado
42.0Attack55.1
72.5Defence65.2
60.9Form60.9
60.6Power61.9
0.94xG0.83
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