Racing MontevideovsDefensor Sporting

Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.5% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.