Racing MontevideovsDefensor Sporting

Racing Montevideo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.