Racing Montevideovs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/21/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Danubio are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60