Racing MontevideovsClub Nacional

Racing Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.