GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Cerro LargoLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Racing MontevideoCerro Largo
42.0Attack34.8
72.5Defence63.8
60.9Form42.0
60.6Power48.3
1.02xG0.50
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