Racing Montevideovs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Racing Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60