GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Boston River are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoLDDDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Boston RiverLDDLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Racing MontevideoBoston River
42.0Attack29.2
72.5Defence56.9
60.9Form36.1
60.6Power42.7
1.23xG0.42
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