GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Louisville W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Louisville W hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the NWSL Women, while Racing Louisville W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Louisville W

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Racing Louisville W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Racing Louisville WChicago Red Stars W
44.4Attack15.8
35.2Defence40.4
31.5Form22.8
39.2Power29.8
1.75xG0.89
View match centre →