GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club Res. hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Reserve League, while Racing Club Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club Res.

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Racing Club Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Club Res.LWWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento Res.DLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Racing Club Res.Sarmiento Res.
49.3Attack28.8
58.7Defence59.1
56.0Form36.4
57.3Power43.7
1.35xG0.62
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