GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club Res. hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Reserve League, while Racing Club Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club Res.

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Racing Club Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Club Res.WDLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.DDDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Club Res.Instituto Res.
49.3Attack34.8
58.7Defence62.1
56.0Form40.9
57.3Power48.5
1.23xG0.77
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