Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Røa W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Molde W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde W hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Toppserien, while Molde W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde W
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
12.0%
Molde W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00