Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quinns FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Quinns FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Subiaco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Quinns FC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Quinns FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quinns FC
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Quinns FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60