Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Quindio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tigres FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80