Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quindio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Quindio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Leones FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Primera B, while Quindio holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quindio
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Quindio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60