QuilmesvsGimnasia Y Tiro

Quilmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.