GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maipu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

QuilmesWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaipuLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
36.0Attack44.0
72.0Defence64.0
42.7Form46.7
51.3Power52.6
0.84xG0.69
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