GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes 2 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quilmes 2

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quilmes 2WWDWW

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.DWDWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Quilmes 2Defensa y Justicia Res.
36.4Attack63.6
78.8Defence53.0
62.1Form51.5
60.6Power55.0
1.12xG0.84
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