GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes 2 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aldosivi Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quilmes 2

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quilmes 2DWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Aldosivi Res.LLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Quilmes 2Aldosivi Res.
36.4Attack28.8
78.8Defence50.0
62.1Form30.3
60.6Power38.7
1.25xG0.36
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