Quevillyvs
Concarneau
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quevilly · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Quevilly are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Concarneau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Quevilly hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Ligue 3, while Quevilly holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quevilly
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Quevilly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20