Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quevilly · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Quevilly are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Avranches are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 29.0 against 28.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Quevilly holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quevilly
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Quevilly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20