GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Queen of the South are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kelty Hearts are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Queen of the South hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the League Cup, while Queen of the South holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queen of the South

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Queen of the SouthLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Kelty HeartsLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Queen of the SouthKelty Hearts
50.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
39.6Power36.8
1.90xG1.39
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