GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Queen of the South are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Cumbernauld Colts are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Queen of the South hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Challenge Cup, while Queen of the South holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queen of the South

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

9.9%

Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Queen of the SouthLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cumbernauld ColtsLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Queen of the SouthCumbernauld Colts
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power50.0
1.95xG1.64
View match centre →