Queen of the Southvs
Aberdeen
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Queen of the South are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aberdeen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold a 52.5-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 92.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the League Cup, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aberdeen
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
9.8%
Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60