Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
QPR are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wycombe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wycombe
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00