Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
QPR · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
QPR are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Millwall are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and QPR hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the League Cup, while QPR holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
QPR
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
12.9%
QPR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80