Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaypan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Qiziriq are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Yaypan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yaypan hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Pro League A, while Yaypan holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yaypan
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
13.2%
Yaypan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00