Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Qizilqum are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Xorazm are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.2 against 43.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20