Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Qizilqum are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Olmaliq are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
13.8%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60