Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qizilqum · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Qizilqum are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mash'al are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Qizilqum hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Super League, while Qizilqum holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Qizilqum
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
18.6%
Qizilqum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60