Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Qizilqum are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bunyodkor are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.2 against 43.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40