Qingdao Youth Islandvs
SHANGHAI SIPG
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Qingdao Youth Island are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20