GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Youth Island are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Youth IslandWDDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
SHANGHAI SIPGWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandSHANGHAI SIPG
37.7Attack54.5
58.0Defence53.0
47.8Form45.5
50.1Power52.3
1.15xG1.27
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