GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Qingdao Youth Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

14.0%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Youth IslandLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chengdu Better CityDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao Youth IslandChengdu Better City
37.7Attack63.6
58.0Defence66.7
47.8Form68.2
50.1Power66.7
0.78xG1.55
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