GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/20/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Jonoon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hangzhou Greentown hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao JonoonLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownDWDLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao JonoonHangzhou Greentown
44.9Attack49.2
36.2Defence42.9
30.4Form46.0
38.9Power47.3
1.62xG1.78
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