GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dynamo Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Qarabag are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Dynamo Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo Kyiv hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Dynamo Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dynamo Kyiv

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

13.7%

Dynamo Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

QarabagLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Dynamo KyivWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
QarabagDynamo Kyiv
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.22xG1.42
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