Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qabala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Qabala are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kapaz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kapaz hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Qabala holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Qabala
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Qabala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40