GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pyunik Yerevan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Marsaxlokk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pyunik Yerevan hold a 45.3-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Pyunik Yerevan holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pyunik Yerevan

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pyunik YerevanWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarsaxlokkLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pyunik YerevanMarsaxlokk
33.3Attack0.0
91.7Defence33.3
58.3Form0.0
61.6Power16.3
1.65xG0.86
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