GGOALVIO

Puebla logoPueblavsGuadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Puebla · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Puebla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Puebla hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Liga MX, while Puebla holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Puebla

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Puebla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PueblaLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalajara ChivasWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PueblaGuadalajara Chivas
33.3Attack22.2
66.7Defence66.7
44.4Form44.4
51.1Power47.5
1.27xG1.02
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