GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSV Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

PSV Eindhoven are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Villarreal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PSV Eindhoven hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PSV Eindhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PSV Eindhoven

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

PSV Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSV EindhovenWWDWW

GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
VillarrealLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
60.0Attack38.1
53.3Defence28.6
60.0Form23.8
61.4Power32.6
2.68xG1.10
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