GGOALVIO

PSV Eindhoven logoPSV EindhovenvsFortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard

COMPLETED

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

PSV Eindhoven are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fortuna Sittard are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eredivisie, favouring a draw with 10.9% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.0%

Model confidence

10.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSV EindhovenWWDWW

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna SittardLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.81xG1.54
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