Provincialvs
Deportivo Metalurgico
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Metalurgico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Provincial are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and deportivo Metalurgico hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 69.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, favouring Deportivo Metalurgico with 18.8% confidence, a 29% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Metalurgico
Probability
79.0%
Model confidence
18.8%
Deportivo Metalurgico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60