GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Provincial Osorno are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportes Rengo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.9% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial Osorno

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

23.9%

Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OsornoWWDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes RengoWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Provincial OsornoDeportes Rengo
41.0Attack28.2
87.2Defence56.4
69.2Form35.9
67.7Power42.4
1.24xG0.37
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