Provincial Osornovs
Concón National
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Provincial Osorno are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Concón National are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and provincial Osorno hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 27.6% confidence, a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
27.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80