Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Prostějov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Třinec are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Třinec hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the FNL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00